Yatırım modelleri
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- Tez No: 18737
- Danışmanlar: PROF.DR. ORHAN TÜRKAY
- Tez Türü: Doktora
- Konular: Ekonomi, Economics
- Anahtar Kelimeler: Yatırım modelleri, Investments models
- Yıl: 1991
- Dil: Türkçe
- Üniversite: Ankara Üniversitesi
- Enstitü: Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü
- Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Sayfa Sayısı: Belirtilmemiş.
Özet
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Özet (Çeviri)
SUMMARY Investment is generally believed to be the missing link in economics. This variable has apparently lived a somewhat nomadic life among the various chapters of economic theory. Perhaps it has not stayed long enough in any one place; perhaps it has been ill-treated. One point is clear however; investment is the most volatile and capricious variable in economics. In order to come to grips with the gigantic problems of investment, we have ventured to analyse the western- oriented investment models proposed as to the factors determining investment. Economists have had different opinions on the relative importance of the factors determining investment. In the accelerator model, for example, demand expectations play a dominant role, whereas in the liquidity model profits, both as an expectational index and as a supply-side constraint, are believed to play the primary role. On the other hand, in the modified Keynes ian model the focus of attention seem to be on the levels of interest rates, income and capital stock. Though a different view is taken both in the Neoclassical model and the 'q' model. In the former, the relative prices are emphasized, the focus of attention being on the socalled“implicit rental value of capital services”. Whereas in the latter, the stress is on 'q', the ratio of financial market valuation of reprodu-403 cible real capital assets to the replacement costs of these assets. All these models, but especially the last, two, have recently been one of the main topics of applied work. Our study is hoped to be a part of this tradition. This study consists of seven chapters. In the first chapter some basic concepts and problems are clarified. In the following three chapters we venture to analyse the main theoretical problems of alternative investment models. In chapter five we present some data problems, definition of relevant variables in the Turkish manufacturing industry and its sub-sectors and the specification of models to be estimated. Chapter six is where the regression results, based on time series data, are discussed. The work ends with an assesment of the general conlusions and some remarks on further study. The main conclusion of this study is that the Neoclassical investment model based on the theory of optimal capital accumulation forms the most relevant approach to the study of industry investment behaviour.
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